Climvantage Singapore

All areas · Central region

Bukit Timah: what a changing climate means, and when

Bukit Timah: little of the land is low-lying, so heat comes first: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C in about 42 years (2068) at today's pace.

At today's pace of emissions. An area-wide estimate for Bukit Timah planning area, not a reading for any one building.

Open Bukit Timah on the map

The three dates for Bukit Timah

Best caseAt today's paceWorst case
CoastalNot before 2150Not before 2150Not before 2150
HeatNot before 2100206842 years · inside a 99-year lease204822 years · inside a 30-year mortgage
Flash-flood downpours, island-wideNot before 2100209064 years · inside a 99-year lease205630 years · inside a 30-year mortgage

Coastal: another tenth of the area's land sits below the safety line (3 m above mean sea level plus projected sea-level rise). Heat: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C. Flash-flood downpours: days with 50 mm or more of rain across Singapore reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level; one date for every area, since the rain model can't tell neighbouring areas apart. For local flooding, see PUB's list below. Mortgage and lease are counted from today.

If you own in Bukit Timah

The heat date falls after a 30-year mortgage and inside a 99-year lease.

  1. 2026TodayAbout 0% of the land is below the safety line.
  2. 205630-year mortgage endsIf taken out today.
  3. 2068Heat date · 42 years30 or more days a year at or above 35°C.
  4. 2090Flash-flood downpours · 64 yearsIsland-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level.
  5. 212599-year lease endsIf it started today. Count from your own start date.
  6. 2150CoastalNo coastal date by here, which is as far as the sea-level data goes.

What to raise with your managing agent or town council

If you are buying in Bukit Timah

3 questions to take to a viewing.

Sea level: not before 2150

Little of the land is low-lying: 0% is below the safety line today and 0% by 2100.

Flash floods: inside a 99-year lease

PUB lists 5 flood-prone areas or hotspots in Bukit Timah. Island-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain go from 6.6 to 8.7 a year by 2100, reaching 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level by 2090.

Heat: inside a 99-year lease

Days at or above 35°C go from 7 to 56 a year by 2100, passing 30 a year by 2068.

The numbers

Today20502100
Land below the safety line0%0%0%
Days at or above 35°C a year71856
Days with 50 mm or more of rain a year, island-wide6.67.68.7

At today's pace of emissions (SSP2-4.5). "Today" is modelled, not measured. Bukit Timah covers 17.5 km² with a median ground height of 19.8 m.

NEA's Clementi Road station recorded 7.9 days a year at or above 35°C in 2014 to 2024 (10 full years). The model gives 4.3 for the same years, as an average over the whole area.

PUB flood-prone areas and hotspots in Bukit Timah

How these are worked out

Ground heat in Bukit Timah today

Tree cover42% of land
Ground by day, vs island+0.2°C 21 of 55, 1 = coolest
Ground at night, vs island+0.3°C 18 of 55, 1 = coolest

In the middle of 55 areas by day; cooler than most at night. Satellite readings of the ground surface, not the air: Landsat by day (2016–2025), MODIS at night, ESA WorldCover for trees. They describe today, not a forecast.

Other planning areas

An independent project, not produced or endorsed by CCRS, NEA, PUB, URA or any government agency. Low land in Singapore is protected today by seawalls, tidal gates and drains; these dates show when more of it will depend on that protection. Prompts, not property, insurance or investment advice.

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