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Lim Chu Kang: what a changing climate means, and when

Lim Chu Kang: little of the land is low-lying, so heat comes first: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C in about 10 years (2036) at today's pace.

At today's pace of emissions. An area-wide estimate for Lim Chu Kang planning area, not a reading for any one building.

Open Lim Chu Kang on the map

The three dates for Lim Chu Kang

Best caseAt today's paceWorst case
CoastalNot before 2150Not before 2150Not before 2150
Heat204519 years · inside a 30-year mortgage203610 years · inside a 30-year mortgage20326 years · inside a 30-year mortgage
Flash-flood downpours, island-wideNot before 2100209064 years · inside a 99-year lease205630 years · inside a 30-year mortgage

Coastal: another tenth of the area's land sits below the safety line (3 m above mean sea level plus projected sea-level rise). Heat: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C. Flash-flood downpours: days with 50 mm or more of rain across Singapore reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level; one date for every area, since the rain model can't tell neighbouring areas apart. For local flooding, see PUB's list below. Mortgage and lease are counted from today.

If you own in Lim Chu Kang

The heat date falls inside a 30-year mortgage.

  1. 2026TodayAbout 5% of the land is below the safety line, protected by seawalls, tidal gates and drains.
  2. 2036Heat date · 10 years30 or more days a year at or above 35°C.
  3. 205630-year mortgage endsIf taken out today.
  4. 2090Flash-flood downpours · 64 yearsIsland-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level.
  5. 212599-year lease endsIf it started today. Count from your own start date.
  6. 2150CoastalNo coastal date by here, which is as far as the sea-level data goes.

What to raise with your managing agent or town council

If you are buying in Lim Chu Kang

7 questions to take to a viewing.

Sea level: not before 2150

Little of the land is low-lying: 5% is below the safety line today and 7% by 2100.

Flash floods: inside a 99-year lease

PUB lists no flood-prone area or hotspot in Lim Chu Kang. Island-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain go from 6.6 to 8.7 a year by 2100, reaching 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level by 2090.

Heat: inside a 30-year mortgage

Days at or above 35°C go from 18 to 92 a year by 2100, passing 30 a year by 2036.

The numbers

Today20502100
Land below the safety line5%5%7%
Days at or above 35°C a year183892
Days with 50 mm or more of rain a year, island-wide6.67.68.7

At today's pace of emissions (SSP2-4.5). "Today" is modelled, not measured. Lim Chu Kang covers 17.5 km² with a median ground height of 9.1 m.

How these are worked out

Ground heat in Lim Chu Kang today

Tree cover63% of land
Ground by day, vs island−2.5°C 7 of 55, 1 = coolest
Ground at night, vs island−1.1°C 1 of 55, 1 = coolest

Cooler than most of 55 areas by day; among the 5 coolest at night. 17% of the land is under trees taller than 10 m. Satellite readings of the ground surface, not the air: Landsat by day (2016–2025), MODIS at night, ESA WorldCover for trees. They describe today, not a forecast.

Other planning areas

An independent project, not produced or endorsed by CCRS, NEA, PUB, URA or any government agency. Low land in Singapore is protected today by seawalls, tidal gates and drains; these dates show when more of it will depend on that protection. Prompts, not property, insurance or investment advice.

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