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Simpang: what a changing climate means, and when

Simpang: little of the land is low-lying, so heat comes first: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C in about 33 years (2059) at today's pace.

At today's pace of emissions. An area-wide estimate for Simpang planning area, not a reading for any one building.

Open Simpang on the map

The three dates for Simpang

Best caseAt today's paceWorst case
CoastalNot before 2150Not before 2150Not before 2150
HeatNot before 2100205933 years · inside a 99-year lease204418 years · inside a 30-year mortgage
Flash-flood downpours, island-wideNot before 2100209064 years · inside a 99-year lease205630 years · inside a 30-year mortgage

Coastal: another tenth of the area's land sits below the safety line (3 m above mean sea level plus projected sea-level rise). Heat: 30 or more days a year at or above 35°C. Flash-flood downpours: days with 50 mm or more of rain across Singapore reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level; one date for every area, since the rain model can't tell neighbouring areas apart. For local flooding, see PUB's list below. Mortgage and lease are counted from today.

If you own in Simpang

The heat date falls after a 30-year mortgage and inside a 99-year lease.

  1. 2026TodayAbout 10% of the land is below the safety line, protected by seawalls, tidal gates and drains.
  2. 205630-year mortgage endsIf taken out today.
  3. 2059Heat date · 33 years30 or more days a year at or above 35°C.
  4. 2090Flash-flood downpours · 64 yearsIsland-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain reach 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level.
  5. 212599-year lease endsIf it started today. Count from your own start date.
  6. 2150CoastalNo coastal date by here, which is as far as the sea-level data goes.

What to raise with your managing agent or town council

If you are buying in Simpang

6 questions to take to a viewing.

Sea level: not before 2150

Little of the land is low-lying: 10% is below the safety line today and 13% by 2100.

Flash floods: inside a 99-year lease

PUB lists no flood-prone area or hotspot in Simpang. Island-wide, days with 50 mm or more of rain go from 6.6 to 8.7 a year by 2100, reaching 1.5 times their 1995–2014 level by 2090.

Heat: inside a 99-year lease

Days at or above 35°C go from 10 to 69 a year by 2100, passing 30 a year by 2059.

The numbers

Today20502100
Land below the safety line10%11%13%
Days at or above 35°C a year102469
Days with 50 mm or more of rain a year, island-wide6.67.68.7

At today's pace of emissions (SSP2-4.5). "Today" is modelled, not measured. Simpang covers 8.3 km² with a median ground height of 6.9 m.

How these are worked out

Ground heat in Simpang today

Tree cover94% of land
Ground by day, vs island−4.1°C 3 of 55, 1 = coolest
Ground at night, vs island−0.7°C 4 of 55, 1 = coolest

Among the 5 coolest of 55 areas by day and at night. 38% of the land is under trees taller than 10 m. Satellite readings of the ground surface, not the air: Landsat by day (2016–2025), MODIS at night, ESA WorldCover for trees. They describe today, not a forecast.

Other planning areas

An independent project, not produced or endorsed by CCRS, NEA, PUB, URA or any government agency. Low land in Singapore is protected today by seawalls, tidal gates and drains; these dates show when more of it will depend on that protection. Prompts, not property, insurance or investment advice.

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